Good News For Romney From Massachusetts?!

Posted: September 26, 2012 in Contributors, Political Opinion
Tags: , , , ,

 The Democrats would like you to believe that it’s all over, that the trend is in President Obama’s favor and that if the election were held today he would win re-election against Mitt Romney, and that come Election Day he will win by an even bigger margin than he would today. They want the Republicans to give up and stay home on that momentous Tuesday.

Sorry, fellas, but there is new evidence rebutting that theory, and it comes from Massachusetts, of all places.

Rasmussen came out today with its latest poll results from Massachusetts, showing Obama with 55 percent of the Massachusetts vote, while Romney polled 40 percent. On the surface, that might not seem like good news for Romney, and probably nobody expects Romney to win lopsidedly Democratic Massachusetts under any circumstances, even though he served as governor of the state a while back.

But if you compare today’s report with the way the candidates stacked up the last time Rasmussen polled Massachusetts, back in May, Romney has made a significant gain. At that time Obama was favored by 56 percent of those polled, 1 percentage point more than he draws now, while Romney polled only 35 percent – meaning that he has now enjoyed a 5 point pop.

To refine the figures further, Obama drew 61.5 percent of the major-party voters in May, and now draws only 57.9 percent. (The rest of the electorate remain undecided or will vote for one of the splinter candidates.)

A showing of less than 60 percent in Massachusetts is lousy for a Democrat. Obama himself won more than 63 of that state’s major-party votes in 2008, and John Kerry (the Massachusetts senator) won more than 62 percent in 2004 against George W. Bush.
Draw your own conclusions about the why, but clearly Obama has lost significant support in Massachusetts among voters who thought he was the cat’s meow in 2008 – a pattern that can be observed in most of the states where Rasmussen has polled.

There can be no question that the U.S. electorate as a whole is less enthusiastic about Obama than last time, a fact that drives liberals crazy, even those who think their man will eke out a victory.

Rasmussen, it should be pointed out, is widely acclaimed as the polling organization that produces the most believable results, because it uses the most scientifically precise electoral models. Other polls tend to overweight the opinions of registered Democrats, because they lack either competence or integrity.

It is the other, skewed polls that have made Obama’s supporters so giddy with optimism – or professed optimism — in recent days.

Author Bio:

Arthur Louis spent more than forty years as a print journalist, with the Philadelphia Inquirer, McGraw-Hill, Fortune magazine and the San Francisco Chronicle, but he is not asking for sympathy. He is the author of two non-fiction books: The Tycoons, and Journalism and Other Atrocities, as well as a novel, The Little Champ. In retirement, he has decided unilaterally that he is a profound political pundit.
Author website: http://bernardgoldberg.com
  • wally

    Now that I am more informed about how the pols come up with their numbers, I am more positive that Mitt will win the election. As I understand all pols get their information from land lines. They each have a different skew based on previous elections, women votes students, retirees, etc. I for one will vote for Mitt. If anyone else is like me, they do not answer any polling phone calls unless by accident. Thus I think there is a vast number of people who are not identified as leaning to Obama or Mitt. The number of voters who feel the pinch of unemployment, underemployment, the highest debt, the broken promises of Obama, the stimulus that hasn’t worked, the dismal job creations, the attack on coal mining and oil drilling and the failed foreign policies will mean an end of Obama’s presidency. I predict the actual vote will be a shock to the pol companies and to Obama.

    • Artlouis

      I sure hope so. By the way, Rasmussen says on its Web site that it has a database of cellphone numbers and calls these people too. 

  • PDoof

    So . . . it’s good news for Romney that he can’t possibly carry his own home state?

    • Artlouis

       I don’t think you read this with any care. Nobody expected him to carry Massachusetts, but the fact that he has 40 percent (and climbing) of the vote there speaks well for his chances in states where the tally is close.

      • NS Sherlock

        PDoof(us) is the typical lib – pick and choose and then ‘spin’ it.  As before, the lack of arguments from the libs on this column is deafening. Forget the garlic, wooden stake and silver bullets…just write a positive article about Republicans and poof! Libs are gone.