The Democrats would like you to believe that it’s all over, that the trend is in President Obama’s favor and that if the election were held today he would win re-election against Mitt Romney, and that come Election Day he will win by an even bigger margin than he would today. They want the Republicans to give up and stay home on that momentous Tuesday.
Sorry, fellas, but there is new evidence rebutting that theory, and it comes from Massachusetts, of all places.
Rasmussen came out today with its latest poll results from Massachusetts, showing Obama with 55 percent of the Massachusetts vote, while Romney polled 40 percent. On the surface, that might not seem like good news for Romney, and probably nobody expects Romney to win lopsidedly Democratic Massachusetts under any circumstances, even though he served as governor of the state a while back.
But if you compare today’s report with the way the candidates stacked up the last time Rasmussen polled Massachusetts, back in May, Romney has made a significant gain. At that time Obama was favored by 56 percent of those polled, 1 percentage point more than he draws now, while Romney polled only 35 percent – meaning that he has now enjoyed a 5 point pop.
To refine the figures further, Obama drew 61.5 percent of the major-party voters in May, and now draws only 57.9 percent. (The rest of the electorate remain undecided or will vote for one of the splinter candidates.)
A showing of less than 60 percent in Massachusetts is lousy for a Democrat. Obama himself won more than 63 of that state’s major-party votes in 2008, and John Kerry (the Massachusetts senator) won more than 62 percent in 2004 against George W. Bush.
Draw your own conclusions about the why, but clearly Obama has lost significant support in Massachusetts among voters who thought he was the cat’s meow in 2008 – a pattern that can be observed in most of the states where Rasmussen has polled.
There can be no question that the U.S. electorate as a whole is less enthusiastic about Obama than last time, a fact that drives liberals crazy, even those who think their man will eke out a victory.
Rasmussen, it should be pointed out, is widely acclaimed as the polling organization that produces the most believable results, because it uses the most scientifically precise electoral models. Other polls tend to overweight the opinions of registered Democrats, because they lack either competence or integrity.
It is the other, skewed polls that have made Obama’s supporters so giddy with optimism – or professed optimism — in recent days.
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