NY-9: A Bellwether Race?

Belle Harbor, N.Y. — “Bob Turner for Congress” yard signs dot the lawns of the quaint homes lining Rockaway Beach Boulevard. This augurs well for the upstart Republican on the verge of a major upset in this heavily Democratic district, and it represents an unsettling omen for national Democrats.

An ethnically mixed beach neighborhood in New York’s Ninth Congressional District — a district that includes portions of Brooklyn and Queens, and whose voters head to the polls today in a special election to replace disgraced Democratic representative Anthony Weiner — Belle Harbor is an unlikely stronghold for a Republican candidate battling State Assemblyman David Weprin, the Orthodox Jewish Democratic candidate. Yet sure enough, this Irish, Italian, and Jewish enclave, along with the rest of the district, may well wind up in GOP hands after today’s voting: The latest Siena poll of likely voters, released last Friday, puts Turner, a onetime TV executive, up by six points.

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