Out on a Limb, Predicting A Big Victory For …

Unlike Dick Morris and most of my conservative pals, I have no idea who’s going to win on Tuesday.

Dick, as you know if you’ve watched Fox even for a few seconds, not only thinks Mitt Romney is going to win, he thinks he’s going to win big.  Except for the aforementioned pals of mine, Dick has been pretty much alone on that one.  Rasmussen and Gallup and everyone else think it’s going to be close.  This pretty much means that Dick Morris either belongs in an asylum or he’s a political genius.  I’m hoping for the latter.

But now comes another serious political thinker, knowledgeable and sober in his analysis who also thinks Romney is going to win – and like Dick Morris, thinks it’s not going to be close.

Michael Barone is the senior political analyst at the Washington Times who writes that, “Fundamentals usually prevail in American elections. That’s bad news for Barack Obama. True, Americans want to think well of their presidents and many think it would be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first black president.

“But it’s also true that most voters oppose Obama’s major policies and consider unsatisfactory the very sluggish economic recovery — Friday’s jobs report showed an unemployment uptick.”

So here goes, in Barone’s own words, his assessment of some key states:

 

Indiana (11 electoral votes). Uncontested. Romney.

North Carolina (15 electoral votes). Obama has abandoned this target. Romney.

Florida (29). The biggest target state has trended Romney since the Denver debate. I don’t see any segment of the electorate favoring Obama more than in 2008, and I see some (South Florida Jews) favoring him less. Romney.

Ohio (18). The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue-collar voters for him to lead most polls. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than in 2008. Early voting tells another story, and so does the registration decline in Cleveland’s Cuyahoga County. In 2004, intensity among rural, small -town and evangelical voters, undetected by political reporters who don’t mix in such circles, produced a narrow Bush victory. I see that happening again. Romney.

Virginia (13). Post-debate polling mildly favors Romney, and early voting is way down in heavily Democratic Arlington, Alexandria, Richmond and Norfolk. Northern Virginia Asians may trend Romney. Romney.

Colorado (9). Unlike 2008, registered Republicans outnumber registered Democrats, and more Republicans than Democrats have voted early. The Republican trend in 2010 was squandered by weak candidates for governor and senator. Not this time. Romney.

Iowa (6). The unexpected Romney endorsements by the Des Moines Register and three other newspapers gave voice to buyer’s remorse in a state Obama carried by 10 points. Democrats’ traditional margin in early voting has declined. Romney.

Minnesota (10). A surprise last-minute media buy for the Romney campaign. But probably a bridge too far. Obama.

New Hampshire (4). Polls are very tight here. I think superior Republican intensity will prevail. Romney.

Pennsylvania (20). Everyone would have picked Obama two weeks ago. I think higher turnout in pro-coal Western Pennsylvania and higher Republican percentages in the Philadelphia suburbs could produce a surprise. The Romney team evidently thinks so too. Their investment in TV time is too expensive to be a mere feint, and, as this is written, Romney is planning a Sunday event in Bucks County outside Philly. Wobbling on my limb, Romney.

Nevada (6). Democratic early-voting turnout is down from 2008 in Las Vegas’ Clark County, 70 percent of the state. But the casino unions’ turnout machine on Election Day re-elected an unpopular Harry Reid in 2010, and I think they’ll get enough Latinos and Filipinos out this time. Obama.

Wisconsin (10). Recent polling is discouraging for Republicans. But Gov. Scott Walker handily survived the recall effort in June with a great organizational push. Democrats depend heavily on margins in inner-city Milwaukee (population down) and the Madison university community. But early voting is down in university towns in other states. The Obama campaign is prepared to turn out a big student vote, but you don’t see many Obama signs on campuses. Romney.

Oregon (7), New Mexico (5), New Jersey (14). Uncontested. Obama.

Michigan (16). Romney chose Pennsylvania, where there’s no auto bailout issue. Obama.

 

That would give Romney 315 electoral votes … and 223 for the president.

This is way too optimistic for me.  Any prognosticator who thinks Romney is going to win Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio and Pennsylvania makes me wonder if he’s been watching too much Dick Morris on TV, though it certainly is possible.

But like I said, I don’t have a clue as to who’s going to be delivering a victory speech next Tuesday night – that is, if we even know the winner by next Tuesday night.

 

Bernie's Next Column.

Enter your email and find out first.

  • Karl Rove

    Excellent article, bubble boys!

    • Mario__P

      Karl, you still alive? I would think there would be a bounty on you head for stealing people’s money.

  • Kansan

    What a birdbrain.  Of the dozen swing states he called, he was wrong eight, choosing Romney, and was right on four, three for Obama, one, NC, for Romney. His Obama pick of Michigan was a no brainer. Nobody believed that “Jeeps to China” save for the dittoheads.

    So, on his Romney picks, he was one-for-nine.

    He’s batting .111.  Not quite ready for the bigs. In fact I wouldn’t want him coaching my kids in Little League.

  • Brushfour

    Obama was able to retain most,..but not all, of this 2008 coalition.  He lost some young voters, but kept most of the black and latino voters.  Unfortunately for those people unemployed or looking for some economic improvement,….things will be dead for the next 4 years.  Nothing to look forward to. Just more lectures about how we don’t understand clearly enough what he’s trying to do. 

    • Mario__P

      Just curious, where do you believe the unemployment rate would be at today had McCain won in 2008?

      • Kansan

         14% (no stimulus).

        • Mario__P

          Should I be surprised no one from the Right was brave enough to answer my question?

    • dxvanedf

      haha you guys got crushed! GO OBAMA!!!

  • Mario__P

    Boy, were those conservative pundits and polls wrong. “Big victory for Romney!” “Romney +1″ Why should anyone listen to Morris, Barone, Gallup, and Rasmussen again over the other sources? Obviously the others (MSM) have their models calibrated better. The Right was pushing their fantasy and hope until the very end, even extending the inevitable (Karl Rove on Ohio). It just shows you how the Right  prays on the nation’s vulnerable.

    And those two “rape” senate candidates just prove how out of touch their believes are from the majority’s. Next time keep your idiotic thoughts to yourselves. Or not, and the Left will win more seats.

  • Slick2daE

    Not only was this guy Bernard wrong, but he was incredibly wrong. embarrassing how Obama took Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, Iowa, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and just waiting for Florida to be official. state that this guy said were Romney… all credibility out the window

  • CentralScruntinizer

    Pretty damn quiet in here tonight. 

  • Bob Hadley

    You apparently weren’t watching cable news, esp. FNC.  All the talk about was how the R’s were going to take over the House. 

    Yes, thanks to the Tea Party the R’s lost Senate races in Nevada, Delaware and in at least two other states.  The House is, of course, a completely different matter.

  • Bill

    An Obama fan in NYC said ” I was extremely impressed by his response to the storm”. ……Yeah, he showed up for a photo op and then headed to Ohio for a campaign rally. There’s no cure for stupid………….lol

    • Mario__P

      Obama returned to Washington on Monday 10/26 and didn’t resume his campaigning until Thursday 11/1, returned to Ohio the following day. That was one long photo op, spanning over several days. But at least he didn’t look as dumb as rinsing off clean pots or accepting donated goods from his supporters, goods his campaign paid for the night before.

  • Bill

    The Illegal Alien vote could push Nevada over the top for Obama. The usual suspects are the Las Vegas unions.

  • Bill

    Obama supporters, the Black Panthers, showed up outside Philly polling stations once again to intiminate whites. Imagine voting for someone they support. Anyway they get a “wink” from black racist Atty Gen Eric Holder and do their thing.

    • Mario__P

      Thank you for that info. I’ll make sure to inform all the potential Obama voters, because that may make them change their vote. Black Panthers at the voting booths is way more important than Obamacare and creating jobs.

    • Bob Hadley

      I think you’re talking about the NEW Black Panters party with 3 or 4 members.  The coverage that Fox News gave this episode made it sound like it was scourge on our electoral system.

      BTW, those 3 0r 4 NBPs were at a heavily democratic polling place.

      I agree that, from all appearances, their behavior was unacceptable.  But Fox News certailing knows how to make a mole hill into a mountain.

      • CentralScruntinizer

         I had the national membership of the New Black Panthers pegged at 11, but they may have lost a few.  I’d say as long as they have 2 of ‘em Fox will go with blanket coverage…

    • CentralScruntinizer

       Whenver you talk about racism, Bill you provide primer for psych 101 students looking to study projection.

  • 49corvette

    I am about to drive out and deposit vote choices for 2012—My opinion/views about “right/wrong” or “good/bad” is not going to change those absolutes—JPL had to use correct math to put the landers on Mars—incorrect formulas wouldn’t work—America needs to “Bite the Bullet”—stop pretending wrong answers are correct answers—my 2cents—Thanx for reading

  • Bill

    A “Nor-Easter” headed for NY/NJ on Wednesday. God hates New York and New Jersey. I wonder why?

    • phantom

      Yep, your god is a hater.

      • Nixdad96

         Hey phantom, do us all a favor.  Disappear already!

        • Bob Hadley

          Nixdad96, you sound hateful.

  • Bill

    Compare the behavior of the Japanese after the Tsunami patiently waiting in line to buy food with that of Blue State New Yorkers and New Jerseyites “acting out” on free food lines and free gas lines not to mention the widespread looting in Coney Island, Rockaways etc unreported by the liberal media.

    • Magnolia

      Yes, Bill…amazing that this is all happening in the liberal capital of the world. The floods and the tornadoes of the past several years that did tremendous damage and nobody complained. They help EACH other and communities pulled together.  What does that tell us?

  • http://www.facebook.com/bill.mitchell.3954546 Bill Mitchell

    Consider that as a result of 15,000 interviews, Rasmussen says the electorate is now R+6 and you start to believe.  In addition, Romney is leading indies by high double digits.  Despite this, he is still using D+ samples in his polling so who knows.

  • Mario__P

    Today, Rush confirmed to his audience the formula for his, and his ilk, success, as if the Left already didn’t know the truth. During the show Rush stated that for pundits to increase their following, they just need to spew the Armageddon scenario of their agenda, and the listeners/members will keep pouring in. Shouldn’t such an admission make their listeners feel like being taken advantage of, praying on their vulnerabilities? Just spew and magnify the negatives, ignore or downplay the positives, and you’ve got yourself a herd of followers. Rush must have forgot who he was talking to.

    • Bill

      Sounds like the Obama campaign. If you can’t run on your record, throw mud.

      • Bob Hadley

        Team Romney’s motto is “If you can’t run on your record or your past positions, distort the other guy’s record and change your positions.”

        As President Hoover said about FDR, “Gov. Romney is a chameleon on plaid.”

        • Mario__P

          Although Obama has a 90% chance of winning tomorrow, I truly hope he will win so he can complete his recovery and the history books will refer to him as one of the most effective presidents. Then these clowns on here will have to weasel out of their position to their grandchildren when they’re asked why they were so critical of #44, just like some were of FDR. History is repeating itself right in front of our eyes.

        • Bill

          2008: 32 million on food stamps. 2012: 47 million on food stamps. Can’t wait till President Romney takes office. A real President rather then a buffoon community organizer and leftist radical from cesspool Chicago.

        • Bob Hadley

          Of course more people have gone on food stamps.  That’s what happens during a recession.  DUH!  The qualifications for food stamps haven’t changed.  You know that if all you watch is Fox news.

          It takes a long time to dig out of a hole, especially when you have so much resistance.

        • Karen

          Respond to Bob/ I am not a lib. I am voting for Mitt Romney , I have been campaigning for him here in Texas. Sorry if you thought that. I hope you will do the same, and if I sound like that it because I thank Mitt Romney will save our country. We have to get America back so we can be strong , proud and with the Grace of God it will happen tomorrow .

        • Bob Hadley

          Karen,

          My point was that your insuation that anyone who doesn’t vote for your guy is stupid sounds like what liberals are accused of doning.

          BTW, God doesn’t take sides in partisan politics

        • Mario__P

          Karen, 

          You stated that with the grace of god, Romney will win tomorrow. And if he doesn’t win, does that mean god didn’t want Romney to win?

      • CentralScruntinizer

         Bill, from the tone of your ignorant, hateful posts throughout this thread this week, I gotta think that there are plenty of dents in the wall of your trailer tonight.

  • Magnolia

    Voter turn out will be the advantage for Republicans.  For many, it is not simply a vote for Romney/Ryan but a vote for our basic God given freedoms and a return to a free market economy.  We want to take our country back from Socialism. I voted early Friday and there were NO Obama signs.  Friends and relatives that are usually quiet regarding politics are passionate about defeating Obama.  It will be a Romney/Ryan landslide and many “Romney” Democrats will come out of the closet.  I feel Paul Ryan is a HUGE asset to the ticket and he has also assured the evangelical and Catholic vote. 

    • Mario__P

      You are absolutely correct. There are no Obama signs anywhere to be found. There is so much support and so many Romney voters, there is no need for every Republican to show up at the polls. The onslaught for the GOP ticket is undeniable. If you’re a Republican, feel free to stay home, because there will not be the need for every Romney vote.

      • Htj007

        Interestingly, Republicans feel it is a duty as well as a priviledge to vote and as such will always vote.  Even if a bus doesn’t pick me up I can walk to a pole and vote my choice on the ballot.

        • Mario__P

          Just make sure you don’t walk into a pole.

      • Bill

        No thanks Mario. I’ll go to the polling place and  vote for “love of country” rather then “revenge”

        • Mario__P

          I just voted for revenge. Last decade I didn’t ask for the mess I didn’t want, but I still got it. Revenge is sweet, especially to the ones who deserve it.

        • Magnolia

          @mario_P:twitter Did you have to vote for revenge b/c of the Democrats that managed to cause the housing bubble and the eventual bank failures that GWB warned the Democratic Congress about 17 times?  That revenge would really be as sweet as an “I TOLD YOU SO”

        • Mario__P

          Bush2 warned which Democratic congress about the housing bubble? The 110th Congress of 2006? Wasn’t that a bit too late? By 2007, the bubble has already peaked, and it was already bursting. Study the bubble a bit more to identify its causes.

          BTW, make sure you get the right Mario_P. I don’t even have a tweeter account, Sherlock. 

        • Kwhubble

           Hey Bill!  I think Mario is going to be on his couch and everything will be peachy for him because his welfare and food stamp payments are direct-deposited into a bank account for him.  Do you think that might be it?  Thanks to BHO, while you and I leave the house to go to work he and so many others never have to leave the house to even look for work.  It’s getting harder and harder to carry you folks around. 

        • Mario__P

          Kwhubble,

          You don’t have to worry about carrying me around. Chances are I’m the one carrying you.

      • Magnolia

        Hilarious….but you did NOT really read my post.  VOTER TURN OUT WILL BE THE ADVANTAGE FOR ROMNEY/RYAN.

        • Mario__P

          I read your post, and I agree that the VOTER TURNOUT WILL BE THE ADVANTAGE FOR ROMNEY/RYAN. Therefore, due to the turnout overwhelmingly benefiting the GOP ticket, not every Republican will need to show up. There will be way many more Republicans to cover the absent ones. Just take it easy, relax at home with a hot cocoa, and enjoy the GOP win on TV. 

        • CentralScruntinizer

           We heard you… AND HOW DID THAT VOTER TURN OUT WORK OUT FOR YOU WHEN REALITY ACTUALLY CAME INTO PLAY INSTEAD OF THE FICTION YOU CREATE FOR YOURSELF IN THE REPUBLICAN BULLSH*T BUBBLE?

        • CentralScruntinizer

           One other piece of reality for you Mags: Housing Bubble was in large part caused by a combo of Alan Greenspan’s monetary policy, especially post 9/11 combined with the republican Gramm(R) Leach(R) Bliley(R)  bill which repealed The Glass Steagall Act in 2000.   

      • Nixdad96

         Why don’t you stay home, play videos and collect welfare check for life.  Where did you learn that behavior from? Doe the apple fall far from the tree?

        • Mario__P

          Tomorrow I’m going to enjoy watching the elections on TV. I already voted via my absentee ballot. 

          But do I sense a bit of bitterness from you. Are you feeling OK? Is something bothering you? Just calm down. Chances are Obama will win and everything will be peachy. You don’t need to bother voting. When was the last time you voted and things turned out fine with your candidate? Yeah, it’s been a while, so let the informed do the difficult decisions for you ;)

    • CentralScruntinizer

       You may also want to go out and flip the landing lights on for Amerlia Earhart too.  Welcome back to reality – Your country is again in the hands of sanity while you all run around the batsh*t bubble of GOP propeganda.

  • Vincent06066

    I live in Pennsylvania and I will tell you right now Pennsylvania is going for Obama.  The Philadelphia area is heavily weighted toward Obama by as much 5 to 1.  The center of the state will go for Romney, but the population there is low and will not be enough to offset the big edge Philadelphia gives to Obama and Pittsburgh and the western part of the state will split almost evenly, but because of the big advantage Obama has in Philadelphia he will win Pennsylvania. 

    • http://www.facebook.com/bill.mitchell.3954546 Bill Mitchell

      If PA is so Dem, why is most of your Legislature Republican?  Also, Romney is doing VERY well in the Philly burbs.

      • CentralScruntinizer

         Not as well as you thought apparently

    • Htj007

      If you ask for something and get it, you deserve it.

      • Mario__P

        I didn’t ask for the previous president, but I got the Iraq War and the recession. Apparently I didn’t deserve it, but somehow I still got it.

    • Bill

      Will the Black Panthers be imtiminating white voters again in Philly to insure their home boy Obama wins? They know Eric Holder supports them as he did in 2008 with no charges pressed for voter intimination.

  • Wheels55

    I think this country will benefit from not only a Romney win, but a landslide. The divide we saw in 2000 and 2004 from close elections wasn’t too much for us to absorb since we were still fairly unified. Obama won fairly easily in 2008, but we are not at all unified. Too many people are still unemployed and seemingly confused about foreign affairs. If this election is close, it will take a while for us to become unified. If Romney wins in a landslide, Obama supporters will cry, but the rest of us will gladly move on to better times.
    Let’s hope that Morris and Barone are right.

    • CentralScruntinizer

       Never a good idea to bank on Morris.   Nate Silver is the best bellwether.  And that’s for the GOP as well, he called the 2010 Tea Party win early and clearer than anyone else.

  • Wtb3127 (10dollarbill)

    I pray that Romney will win in the election, we have seen how and what Obama has done….We need Christian leadership and back to GOD in everything the gov’t and Christians believers have in the power of prayer…Pray four the U.S. and the peace of Jerusalem…..Come quickly Lord Jesus…… 

    • phantom

      As an atheist who plans on voting Romney tomorrow, should I stay home rather than poison the win with my non-believing vote?

      BTW, it’s “Pray for”, not “Pray four…”

      And are you serious, “Come quickly Lord Jesus…”?  That is remedied by you having the courage to do yourself in and meet your deity right now.  Trust in your Lord by pulling the trigger. Or are you sort of the believer in the foxhole who has doubt?

  • FloridaJim

    I pray Morris and Barone are correct. I do not believe I can stand Obama any longer.

  • Bill

    In a non religious secular way this is a choice between Good (Romney) and Evil (Obama). A choice between possible national rejuvenation with Romney or national suicide with Obama.

  • Geraldodell

    CLINTON IS OUT TRYING TO SAVE BILLIARYS’ ASS,,IF OSCUMBA LOSES , THE TRUTH MAY COME OUT ON BENGHAZI,, AND BILLIARYS’ DAYS WILL BE NUMBERED.. I AM FED UP LOOKING AT THE CLINTONS,, THE THREE WORST PRES.  CARTER,, CLINTON, OSCUMBA,, THEY ALL TIE FOR FIRST PLACE.

    WORST PROBLEMS FOR THE U.S.,,  MORAL DECAY IS A GIVEN,,, THE DEBT,, AND ENERGY,,,  AND OF COURSE  DEMOCRAPS.

    • Bill

      The Clinton’s are fools. Bill Clinton, the first Black President, was stabbed in the back by his Homies who abandoned Hillary in 2008. Now he’s out doing their bidding; what a fool.

  • CentralScruntinizer

    OK: one more prediction – After a narrow but clear Obama win, all the deep denial knuckledraggers on this site will shift from reality detached predictions of a Romney landslide to rabid rants insisting that Acorn came up from the grave or some “Chicago” political phantom pulled the election out from under them.  Whatever it takes to preserve your delusional narrative…

    • Ahalbert

       Fraudulent Democrat mailings to Florida Republicans not real enough for you?

    • Geraldodell

      YOU’RE FULL  OF OSCUMBA  SHI3

      • Bob Hadley

        Look at that:  A moron is actually beginning to write!   Rejoice!

    • Bill

      Got White Guilt? Your Black Messiah sent to save America is a FAIL…Get over it.

      • CentralScruntinizer

         Ahh, Bill: I bet you just get furious when anyone implies you might be a racist, too….   (And your constant use in other posts of the term ‘homies’ is cutting edge.  Catching up on Starsky & Hutch as your primer on race relations in the city, I see…)

        • Bill

          You’ve been watching to much Chris Matthews but “racism” will undoubtably be the excuse the radical left uses to explain why their home boy lost the election. The radical Left is so predictable.

          • CentralScruntinizer

            Hows that racist delusion working for you tonight?

          • CentralScruntinizer

            Not to gloat, but bow do your predictions and my predictions look today?

          • Mario__P

            hehehe.. good one… today it’s fun reading those predictions from the Right. Great entertainment.

  • http://profiles.yahoo.com/u/PPL2AXPXJMWPEJWFN34MPC5RNY terry

    As I slide down the political bannister of life,  Obama is the only splinter in my Posterior !

  • http://profiles.yahoo.com/u/PPL2AXPXJMWPEJWFN34MPC5RNY terry

    If Obama wins ,  I have a sturdy rope hanging from the ceiling in the garage, I tried the loop and it fits perfectly around my neck. 

    • Mario__P

      So, what are you saying?

  • http://profiles.yahoo.com/u/PPL2AXPXJMWPEJWFN34MPC5RNY terry

    IF THE CREATURE WINS, TIME TO MOVE TO COSTA RICA OR AUSTRALIA,  THE
    WIFE, ATFER SEVERAL WEEKS AUSTRALIA IS GREAT !

    ANOTHER POSSIBLITY IS SYRIA OR IRAN !

    • Mario__P

      Please don’t forget you renounce your US citizenship.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1560111594 Robert Blum

    IF Obama were to be granted a second term maybe there would be time to concoct a storyline regarding Benghazi that even a liar would believe. . . . before being impeached.

  • http://profiles.google.com/tbfh1955 tb thomas

    Bernie, I think Romney’s going to deliver a big upset in Pennsylvania, so give Obama Ohio and Wisconsin, and we still get our country back. 

  • http://www.facebook.com/barbara.wilcox.12 Barbara Wilcox

    I hope you are right Bernie and I wake up Wednesday morning and Obama, Jarrette, Holder, Axelrod, Geitner, will all start fading away like a terrifying nightmare in the bright light of dawn on a bright sunny day.

    • Divineconnection7

       I am with you on that Barbara Wilcox, I pray daily that Romney/Ryan will be our true American leaders on Wednesday as well. These last 4 years have truly been a nightmare with obama/biden’s administration.

      • metheoldsarge

        Don’t expect too much change from Romney if he wins. After all he shares one thing with the President. He is also in favor of running the First, Fourth and Fifth Amendments, along with Posse Commutates, through the shredder by supporting NDAA.

  • Indi4ever

    Earlier I posted about Pennsylvania and Ohio being close. While the individual states might be close, the electoral vote count might not be. I just cannot tell which way those two states are going to fall. IF Romney pulls out Pennsylvania AND Ohio barely, it will look like a rout because of the size of the electoral votes ( I see Romney winning all the eastern seaboard toss-up states). It will be the raw individual state numbers that will tell you how close the race really was.  BTW, Gary Johnson could screw up New Hampshire for Romney.

  • juno dog

    There is so much we do not know about Obama.  I am interested in who had the idea to have him run for president one day 15 years ago? And what was their motive and agenda?
    It is obvious that Obama has been practicing his speaking techniques in front of his mirror for years. He reminds me of a puppet on a string when giving a speech.
    The truth will come out one day, the fear in his eyes lately may be related to this happening before his term is up. This pretender has fooled this country once but if he does so again-  we can only blame ourselves. 

    • Mario__P

      Obama has held a public office for sixteen years now, while Romney only four fours. So how do you know Romney better than Obama? Maybe you should stop ignoring reality.

      And how many times were you fooled by Bush Jr.? Once or twice?

      • Ted Crawford

        Perhaps it’s because everything Romney has done has been completely out in the open for all to see. Obama’s, on the other hand, is protected behind a $2+ Million Firewall! What, any thinking person must wonder, is he so very afraid we will find out? 

        • Mario__P

          “Perhaps it’s because everything Romney has done has been completely out in the open for all to see.”
          Hmmm… maybe you’ve not heard anything about Romney’s tax returns or his Cayman Islands accounts.

  • http://twitter.com/RIRose12 Rosemary Altiere

    Whatever – all thinking Americans know is – we can not sustain any more Obama – a President in name only – not rolling up his sleeves to work – except at a political rally – not using commong sense – thinking debt is no big deal – thinking an entire country gets by without the guidelines of national budget – thinking one major bill – a health care monstrosity is enough work for a 4 year term – a bill which added to the expenses of every American household by the way.  A President who thinks more poverty, more people on food stamps, welfare, disability – less take home pay – more expensive everything – a President who thinks these dreadful situations are acceptable – today I actually heard the President talk about less debt, more surplus, more jobs – on what planet is the White House located these days.

  • Roadmaster

    Everybody’s an expert, right?  Except the polls have been shamelessly manipulated by oversampling of democrats and using unrealistic turn out models, so I don’t bother with any of them.  Even the averaged numbers of RealClearPolitics and UnskewedPolls.com are suspect, but at least they diminish the slant and have maintained around 52-47 for weeks.   I’ve been saying it will be 60-40, minus 6% max for cheating, ending up at 54-46.

  • Karen

    If, Obama gets re-elected he will finish where he left off. And he will try to make this a Socialism country, he can elect judges in the Supreme Court and they can change our law’s and America don’t thank this could happen, yes it can. That’s scary to me and should be to Americans. Obama , will do what ever he wants because he has a lot of news station , democrats to protect him like they do now. All together the Gov. Well take America and we might have to take it back. Thank about that when you vote!!! We the People have to take a stand now , please let’s not make the same mistake.

  • http://twitter.com/twin130 Ellen

    I’m still shocked that it’s even a close race.  I mean, I get the idea of  hope & change & pride in electing the first black president and all that, but what about now?  What does this president have to do for people to see the complete failure & incompetence?  Unemployment is exactly the same as 4 years ago, & he is giving stump speeches saying we are coming back!!  Does anyone remember him talking about the “recovery summer” back in 2010?   Yes, he inherited a mess, but could we please stop acting like it was entirely the fault of one political party?   And by now shouldn’t there be some progress?  There is none . Things are not a little better, or getting better.  Things are worse.  And this is after all that stimulus money that they had to pass right away, like everything Obama wants to pass.  What do we have to show for all that debt?  Has anyone heard about all the investigations & convictions in fraudulent spending of  that money, our money?  The wasted stimulus money that went to ipods for students in Tulsa & cell phones
    for smokers trying to quit in Washington, not to mention the $76,000  ”Monkees
    getting high for science project”.  Come on people!  And has everyone forgotten
    that Obamacare is about to kick in, in 2013?   Do people not understand what it
    will be like when our healthcare is run by the same incompetent government who
    spent those dollars?  I know the American people are smarter than this. 
    I can’t figure it out.  The only explanation I can find it that people are
    getting free stuff & don’t want to give it up, or most people don’t know the
    facts because the liberal media in this election has refused to report on
    anything that might hurt the Obama campaign.  This explains why Obama still
    rates high on foreign policy even though 4 Americans were just killed on 9/11
    because they didn’t think to add more security at the embassy on that date, of
    all dates.  Oh and they were asked for more security in advance, but still
    didn’t get it.  Oh, and the other embassies in the country shut down because
    they all knew it was too dangerous.  And our military and special forces, as
    well as the British and Turkish people, are asking why they weren’t called for
    help because they could have saved those lives.   Yeah, I guess most people just
    don’t know.

    • Mario__P

      You lack of understanding of the current events explains why you are perplexed about these elections. Saying things like “things are worse” just exposes your delusions.

      • Ahalbert

        When Democrats lie and fail, they habitually label those who notice as perplexed and deluded. Lass ihm der ohne sunde ist das erste stein werfen.

  • ROGERGB

    The polls have been so messed up during this election that I have basically quit paying much attention to them. Do not know if they are skewed or not.
     The fact of the matter is that there are more people that love this country that the one that do not. I feel that whoever slid this impostor “BHO” into office did it a generation too early. There are more of old farts that are not ready to hand over the keys to the car that is still stuck in a ditch. Se we believe that the car should have been put in Park 5 years ago when this guy waltzed onto the scene. He was not vetted and most everything in his past is hidden. 
     I honestly believe it is going to be a land slide to the extent it will be embarrassing for this Administration. There are millions of people that voted for the hope and change that did not get what they voted for and you have to bet at least half of them will not waste a vote again. Bolder, Co college estimated 320 electoral votes is not out of the realm. 
     The economy sux unless you are in an energy state and those folks I believe want a piece of the pie that they do not have to share. 
     More people want more for their families than what Obama will give them that we earn. 
     

    • http://twitter.com/twin130 Ellen

       Well said.  I really hope you’re right.

  • KansasGirl

    Now I remember why I don’t open Bernard’s e-mail much anymore.

  • Heidi Lowndes

    I understand that Obama would have Clinton act as his poster boy in effort to seal the deal as being re-elected, however people need to recognize that they are not voting for Clinton, and regardless of what they think, Clinton has serious conflicts with Obama. Clinton is securing Hillary’s run in 2016! That is why he is playing the game!

    • http://profiles.google.com/tbfh1955 tb thomas

       I was getting to like Bill Clinton for awhile there…no more, ever.

    • Bob Hadley

      Either Clinton would do much the same things that Pres. Obama has done if they were president, although they would have done them better.

  • http://hemingwayreport.blogspot.com/ MerchantofVenom

    I don’t necessarily agree with Morris and Barone’s assessment but I do feel Romney will win, not my a landslide, but by a bigger margin then anyone anticipated.

    From my perspective I see a lot of positive signs comparing the 2008 election to 2012. The pivotal element, the enthusiasm for Barry, simply isn’t there. He rode in on the comet of hope and change but that comet has long since flamed out. The 2008 bumper stickers are now old and faded and in most cases not replaced with new ones. Obama signs, which once sprang up like weeds in front lawns all across America are now few and far between. Even his infamous megalomaniacal proclamation at his ascension to the throne “This was the moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow and our planet began to heal” sustained a black eye, debunking his role as the Messiah, compliments of Hurricane Sandy. The beginning of the end was foreshadowed in the Chick-fil-A incident when the “silent majority” announced…WE HAD ENOUGH. Even Obama Girl’s affliction, a crush on Obama, is in a state of remission. His only hope now is maybe Trump can find him a spot on Celebrity Apprentice. After all, that’s all he ever was…a celebrity.

  • moronpolitics

    I studied statistics and polling techniques in college, but what I learned outside the classroom is what stuck with me.   We polled  We went out in person and called on the phone.  people.    We handed them “quick-cards” that allowed them to mark yes/no to no more than four questions and drop their card in a huge box.   It was all arranged to make it obvious that their responses were absolutely private.   After all, no one could know which card was theirs in that gigantic box — right?  Right, except we had every card marked with flourescent ink visible only under blacklight.    Guess what.  Some populations polled differently by almost 20 points when they were “completely anonymous”.    Romney COULD–repeat COULD — do much better with some groups than how they answered polls.

  • Bill

    Reports of looting in Brooklyn and “acting out” at “free” gas lines in NYC. Pics & vids indicate the usual suspects ie. Obama supporters. NY/NJ fools suffer while Obama campaigns in the Mid West yet the NY/NJ sheep will still vote for their Messiah.

  • machtyn

    MN is more likely than PA. However, Mitt has IA and OH. WI is very likely, too.

  • Phil Silverman

    Sure, if he gets Ohio and FLA and Wisconin. Obama will get Wisconsin and Ohio and FLA is not a lock for Romney..hopefull the “old folks” will realize the utter folly of the New Medicare Voucher System. 

    • Bill

      716 Billion cut from Medicare by Obama Care. The “old folks” will vote Romney 3 to 1.

    • Grwilliams20

      I am in the Canveral/Cocoa Beach/Titusville Florida area. Very few Obama signs but a lot of Romney. A lot of enthusiasm also.

    • ShoutFromtheRooftops

      Phil Silverman, I am assuming you are male and a Liberal.  Liberal guys think they sound sexy when they boldly say that they respects a woman’s right to get an abortion.  But its just like saying to a woman, “Us guys get to screw you girls and please take on the pain (and duty) of just killing our offspring if any.” That is NOT sexy or manly, it is disgusting, cowardly and revolting.  Liberals want women to be absolute fools! Women revolt and kick Liberal males to the curb starting with BO! 

      • http://profiles.google.com/tbfh1955 tb thomas

         I’m a conservative Republican and I not only respect a woman’s right to get an abortion, I vigorously defend it. If you want to know what’s disgusting, it’s moral narcissists like yourself who think you have a right to impose your perfect vision of “social justice” on everyone else.

        There’s already a party in this country that specializes in tyranny and fascism — they’re called Democrats (and you should join them).

        • Ahalbert

           If a woman can decide whether to kill a baby, why can’t an adult decide whether to kill someone?

        • wally

          I’ve just been reading the comments and sometimes I comment and many times I just hit like or go on reading the rest. This is one time I have to respond. Years ago a baby born premature would not survive outside the womb and for good reason. The problem was that medical science didn’t have the equipment and expertise to save the premature baby. We have come a long way so now many premature babies can be saved.   In another decade the saving rate will be even greater.  I predict that we will someday be able to birth a baby outside of the womb.  At that point in time will you still say that an abortion is still justified? I hope not. At that point the  courts will again have to decide whether life begins at contraception or not.  Everything that determines whether a baby is viable is at conception since allowing the fetus to survive is mainly a product of nutrition and a welcome environment. What will your answer be? Would you still say that the baby’s life can be taken?
          I have a great concern about the direction that abortion is taking. There seems to be abortion clinics that will readily abort a baby if the parent says that the baby isn’t the right gender. Where are the women’s rights groups on this issue? It appears that these abortions discriminate more against a female.  If the discrimination is for male babies, where is the outrage by males?

        • richgeorge1

          I’m afraid your argument is pretty disgusting.
          Moral narcissist?
          Tyranny and Fascism?
          This has no place is a discussion about abortion.
          I am a non-religious male and do not agree with abortion simply because it is the termination of a life.
          My objection is purely biologically based.
          You are perfectly entitled to disagree with me of course and few, certainly not me, would dispute that however a termination is the ending of a life period. It is not a womans right to control her own body as the ‘baby’ is a completely unique and seperate genetic entity, literally not her body.
          I came to my view having had a ‘baby’ of mine aborted when I was 18 and then upon seeing the scan of my first child some 14 years later realising that the 10 week old image of a ‘baby’ infront of me was 5 weeks ‘younger’ than the ‘baby’ I chose to terminate becuase it would be inconvenient for me.
          I remain sickened to this day at the selfish way in which I thought about the issue at the time.
          Would I ban abortions?
          Probably not.
          But will I argue that it is uncivilised, disgusting, barbaric and fundamentally the most selfish thing a human beign can ever do?
          Certainly.
           

  • Iklwa

    I have remarked to my wife over the past few weeks:
     
    “You do remember, in 2010; how everyone said it was too close to call? Then, on Election Day, none were taken more by surprise than the democrats except perhaps the media.”
     
    At its heart, I believe most polls are flawed because many (most) folks are hesitant to voice their disapproval of Barak H. Obama for fear of being cast a “bigot”. When in the confines of the voting booth it is all between the voter, God and a pencil and I think too many in the United States have gotten a bitter belly full of hope and change.
     
    Even when exiting the booth, most will not confess to casting a black stone into the bowl of the President.
     
    It takes no genius to understand how screwed up this administration has succeeded in getting our affairs, in such short order.

    • Phil Silverman

      folks shouldn’t worry about being called a bigot if they are big fans of Newt Gingrich and Rush Limbaugh and Coulter and Ingraham.

      • Bill

        The only racists left in America are the group who block votes 98% for their homie Obama. Imagine the liberal spin if 98% of whites voted for Romney. Most Blacks vote race + free handouts from their Democrat masters not issues.

        • CentralScruntinizer

          Gosh Bill, it must be hard to see the keys through the eyeholes in that hood…  And for what its worth, about the same percentage of black voters went for Kerry and Gore, too.  Not sure if you noticed they were the same color as you…

      • Iklwa

        This is exactly the sort of fuzzy logic that passes for critical thought within the left wing of the Democrat Party.
         
        One can only surmise that none of these commentators have been heard in their entirety by the Phil; however, he has adopted the construct that each and every one of those mentioned are somehow racist, homophobe, bigots wanting women to serve only two purposes on Earth (no, serving coffee isn’t one).
         
        Simultaneously, this person will proselytize economic theory and world political policies and expect his hypothesis to be given serious consideration…
         

    • Bob Hadley

      In ’10 it well-known and aired that there would be a large  GOP victory.  It was well-known that the House would probably be in GOP hands.  The only question was how big the victory would be.  Thanks to the Tea Party and their followers, the Senate remained under Democratic leadership.

  • Jeff

    On a serious note here about Florida.  I wish Bernie would answer this question truthfully.  The tea party here elected a guy for our Governor who was brought up on charges of more than a billion dollars in Medicare fraud.  Obama says his 716 billion dollars will be found in abuse and fraud.  That being said all we need to do in this country is find another 715 Rick Scott’s.  I’m sure they’re out there.  After taking the 5th amendment more than 75 times the Republicans still elected him.  Since then he cut early voting by ten days.   He has lines of people waiting 6 hours to vote and ended early voting Saturday.  Is he no less a criminal opening the polls a week late and closing them 3 days early?  I voted last Monday, the third day of early voting and was on line for three and a half hours.  Even the most right wing Conservative has to see something wrong with that.
     

    • Phil Silverman

      isn’t Scott the franatic guy trying to eliminate minorities from voter rolls?

      • Jeff
        • DB

          Wiki definition of dailykos:  Daily Kos is a left-leaning American political blog. It functions as a discussion forum and group blog for a variety of netroots activists whose efforts are primarily directed toward influencing and strengthening the Democratic Party. 
          Maybe not the most honest source to use.

          • Bazmac

            I will testify that liberal or not, one of the best ways to get shot down over there at DKos is to make a wild claim then fail to adequately document your sources. They can be brutal. Always read with skepticism but I’ve found them on the average very accurate on fact. How you judge them on interpretation is of course a matter of perspective.

        • Jeff

          DB….So sorry I linked that site here.  Why don’t you take 30 seconds a google Gov Rick Scott and Medicare Fraud………you’ll be reading all week.

      • Drew Page

        Not minorities, just illegals and non-registered voters.   Do you not remember the tactics of ACORN and the voter registration frauds they perpetrated in several different states prior to the 2008 election?    Why is it racist to demand photo IDs for anyone wanting to vote, when the same is required from anyone who wants to enter an Obama campaign rally, or cash a check, or get on a plane, or use a credit card?  Don’t use the old excuse about what a hardship it would be on poor folks and old folks to get a picture ID.   Most have drivers licenses and those that don’t can get state IDs either free or a t low cost.    Those who can get to the polls can get to a state facility to get a photo ID.   

        • Jeff

          Drew, Nobody is talking about voter ID.  I believe everyone should have a photo ID to vote.  I’m talking about a Republican criminal Governor closing the polls so nobody can vote.

        • Nscheessel

          Drew the libs consider those minorities. They see no reason for ID or registration. Just vote  early and often is their motto. Actually that has been practiced in Chicago for many years.

        • Jeff

          Is there not a person on this blog who has the balls to answer the original post about Governor Scott or is this a place where everyone is so taken by FOX News talking points there isn’t a thinking person among you?

        • Bob Hadley

          Drew,

          You have repeatedly failed to provide hard evidence of in-person voting fraud.  As I’ve pointed out before, the stupid  stunt pulled by certain ACORN workers was to put fictitious names on voter lists like Donald Duck, etc. 

          Has anyone showed up at a voting place claiming to be Donald Duck?  Under Pres. GW Bush there was an exhaustive study looking for in-person voting fraud.  Less than a fraction of a fraction of a fraction of 1% of votes cast were found to be in-person voting fraud.

          Before you zip off a reply, think about what in-person voting fraud entails.  First, the perp needs to know that the voter he is impersonating is on the voter roster at a given polling place.  Second, the perp needs to know not only that the voter he intends to impersonate has not yet voted, but that he will not try to vote.  Third, the perp needs some form of ID indicating that he is that voter, e.g. a utility bill.

          Yes, theoretically, someone who is not eligible to vote could find someone else who is eligible, find out that that voter actually will not vote, find a utility bill in the voter’s trash and then go to the designated poll and impersonate the voter.

          Admit it, you favor voter ID laws because they make it harder for (mainly) Democrats to vote.  BTW, a lot of people do not have drivers licenses and do have certified birth certificates handy.  I know someone who got a Hawaii State ID.  It was a difficult and time consuming process for her. 

          I would favor voter ID laws if there was first a well-publicized and aggressive drive to provide state ID’s and a continuing well-publicized service to provide State ID’s.  And the ID’s should be valid for a long period, e.g. 12 years or so.

  • Ohio99ne

    dick morris now says it will be real close

    • Phil Silverman

      He also answers to Roger Ailes.

  • B0B POLK

    I can’t wait to see Axlerod shave his mustache. May he and Cutter can can get jobs as trash pick up, since that is all they say.

    • Phil Silverman

      yeah…they absorbed alot of that “trash” talk when they were fans (?) of O’Reilly, Beck, Hannity, Alex Jones, Limbuagh, Coulter, InGraham (well, she’s pretty sexy, so….), Wayne la Pierre,…….nah, no trash talk there. None with Drudge, Jerome Corsi, Allan West, Bachman,Palin, Angle………….    :)

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Allen-Joyner/1513208342 Allen Joyner

    Bernie, you’ve been right most of if not all of the time, I hope it stays like that this week.

    • Phil Silverman

      ya mean Roger Ailes and Rupert Murdoch have been “right”……………

  • Drew Page

    2012 has been an exhausting year for those who follow politics.   But how could you not follow politics with the 24/7 media coverage?  Ever since the presidential debates there have been nothing but conflicting daily poll results from a variety of pollsters and pundits.  But of instead of just waiting for the final election results,  every news organization, pollster and pundit will be trying to tell us who will be president within the first few hours of voting.  

    I hope Morris is right and Romney wins big.   Maybe Morris figures that a 3%  margin of victory to be a “landslide”.   That, to me, isn’t a landslide;  I would be happy it.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=724275066 Kathy Barkulis

    When Barone came out with his predictions I was ecstatic. While Morris has been steadfast in his forecast, I always thought he was really overestimating the outcome for Romney. But when Barone said the same thing I stood to attention. There is no political forecaster in this country who knows more about every single county in the country than Barone. His expertise is simply above and beyond the rest.

  • http://twitter.com/porcelain10 patricia

    I see to many Obama signs up in Ohio. Should be none! Pray for us all if Obama wins!

    • Phil Silverman

      yes, pray. We need to eliminate Medicare and send Soc. Sec. to wall street; start two new wars; end Planned Parenthood, overturn Roe v. Wade, privatize public schools….continue outsourcing viable American jobs…sending Americans to the unemployment line so agents can pocket a million bucks per. raided company – send the profits to offshore accounts!!   :)

      • Gingerdog

        Medicare and Social Security will be eliminated if nothing is done.  obama has done: nothing.  obama is the greatest outsourcer (not sure if that is a word) there is.  He is also sending more people to both the welfare and food stamp lines than any other president.  obama gave bailout money to companies who are using that money to build facilities (and, thus, create jobs)…………overseas.  obama has raided our childrens’ future by heaping an extra $50K on each of them.  End Planned Parenthood?  Sure.  If it is a valuable as libs claim it is, the private sector will step in to fill the gap.  On the issue of wars………didn’t obama send troops in to Libya without a vote from Congress and, then, lie to the American people about ‘boots on the ground’?  Ultimately, who in their right mind would vote for a president who is so incompetent and self-absorbed that he would deny Americans the security they requested in Libya………..and, then, cover-up their murders because it was inconvenient to his re-election campaign?

      • Ckrdflg

        What happens if Roe v. Wade is overturned?

      • Nscheessel

        Yeah viable jobs like burger flippers and vote buyers.

    • Karen

      Surely, Ohio is smarter then that. It sure will be bad for all of us.

      • Bob Hadley

        Yah right.  Anyone who doesn’t vote for your guy is stupid.  You sound like a liberal elitist!

  • Indi4ever

    I live in Pittsburgh and travel frequently to Ohio. While I will say Pennsylvania is in play, I still give the edge to Obama. Same with Ohio. But those are VERY weak edges. No matter what side you are on, these two states are nail biters at this point. As numbers roll in, it could be easy to tell which side was able to get their parts of the state out to vote. Anyone who thinks they know today, is guessing–wildly. It is very easy to say Obama does not have the turn out he had last time, but last time he won by 10 points here. Is he going to be down THAT much? Everyone has an opinion, but no one knows. Watch Tuesday night to find out.

  • John nazzaro

    The Barone projection foots very closely to the University of Colorado algorithm (no it doesn’t have anything to do with Al)/econometric projection circa October. (Which actually indicated an improvement in the projected Romney electoral college victory projected in August).  The Pennsylvania suburban Catholic vote will be an interesting post election study. I don’t think the Romney victory will constitute a “landslide” or wave election, but I also don’t think it will be as close as the conventional wisdom (tracking polls) presume either.

  • Kmacdoula

    I believe it too will be a landslide for Romney…The Lame stream media would have us believe it’s close, but it is not!!! We the people have had enough of this Socialist-in-chief.. It’s time fit a big boy to come in and clean up.

    • Phil Silverman

      “Socialist in Chief”…the guy who enlisted Romney’s experts to write AHCA; who rescued two American institutions, GM and Chrysler; reformed credit card and student loan and wall street practices…and managed to create a decent no. of jobs despite the most Obstructionist, anti-workforce HOUSE in history. Even Bernie agreez, don’t cha’ pal??

  • kcinco

    I am still on pins and needles about this outcome and don’t know about the landslide win Morris and Barone are predicting. I pray they are correct, but there are too many variables in elections to make that prediction a sure bet for me. 

    • Phil Silverman

      yes, we need to pray for the end of Medicare and for two new wars.

      • Trappedincalifornia

        Phil,

        If you are intent on praying, how about a prayer for the families of the 4 killed in Libya or the victims of Sandy.

  • archangel1957

    There is a “rustling under the leaves” in Illinois.  Could be an October Surprise for Obama.  Except for Cook County, St. Clair County and possibly one other county, the economy is the focus and the rest of  Illinois counties are not drinking the “Kool-Aid”.  We are also very upset that the Obama Administration has endorsed United Nation’s Observers in our Country to oversea (observe) our November 6, 2012 elections.  HUH?  Was up wid dat!?
    Not only a “sham” but a shame.

    • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=724275066 Kathy Barkulis

      I agree that here in Illinois Obama is not going to get the same numbers that he got in 2008. Romney has huge support in the suburbs and downstate, but unfortunately he will not be able to overcome the Democrat machine in Cook County where most of the population lives. And even if Romney did get the majority of votes, the machine would bury them at the bottom of the Chicago River.

  • Jpindorski1

    Dick Morris just sent me an email saying Obama’s getting a bump from Hurricane Sandy and now his previous prediciton is in doubt.  I think they’re all full of it!!!

  • sonnyboy1

    I’m for Romney, but….I fear Obama will be re-elected.  The majority of voters get their news from ABC, NBC, CBS.  If those voters would view other news outlets, along with the mainstream as many of us do, they would find their being mislead, on many issues.  Yes, conservative news also misleads, but at least we then check it out to find if it’s true or false.  I form my own opinions, not what the news shoves down my throat.  Is Romney perfect?  No, of course not. Can he get us back on the right track?  Probably.  He has a better chance of that than Obama does.  We can only pray more conservatives cast their votes this election.

  • chopkoski

    Actually, speaking of rural/non-rural, Obama is a product of the cities, a majority now, and their constant need for government help.  The pressure of numbers.  And his method of handling this pressure has neither been new nor creative.

  • chopkoski

    When, in my state, there is a tremendous energy in the rural areas for Romney.  He still won’t get this very blue state, but if things are like that across the US, there will be…change.

  • jdog

    Romney takes 40 states. It won’t be close. The people have had enough of the socialist.

  • http://twitter.com/PollyannaTaylo1 Pollyanna Taylor

    We are cautiously optimistic. Just today various newspapers are endorsing Romney, most of which endorsed Obama in 2008. 

  • http://blog.cyberquill.com/ Cyberquill

    Predicting victory for one’s preferred candidate is human nature. Unless the polls are clear, no one will predict victory for the guy they don’t want to win. 

    Those who prophesy a “decisive” win for Romney probably do so in the hopes that their prediction will cause as many Obama voters as possible to think the race is lost anyway and cause them to stay home on election day, thus upping the chances for Romney to carry the day.

    • ron1

      I don’t know. Dick Morris and others make a living running polls and interpreting them and the trends. Also, they compare with poll results in the past and make intelligent decisions based on the results. However, no one can 100% predict what a person will do once in the voting booth.

      • http://blog.cyberquill.com/ Cyberquill

        This Morris character strikes me as someone more interested in influencing than merely predicting the outcome of elections. How many steak dinners does he owe O’Reilly by now for having lost bets with his predictions? 

      • http://blog.cyberquill.com/ Cyberquill

        Well, there goes Mr Morris’s career as a pollster.

  • Billy

    This is sincerely a coincidence (maybe?) that I’ve always thought Dick Morris was the brightest, most insightful of all the pundits and newspeople and reporters and political analysts. And wow, a former Democrat who work for Clinton and now a Republican. Also, before hearing of Morris’ “landslide” victory for Romney, I’ve had the same thought. You watch, Romney will win. If by a landslide, Morris and I will seem wise, if by a narrow margin, at least Morris and I were bottom line correct. Well, I say popular vote will be about 54 Romney and 46 Obama.

  • whosebone

     You think this could be construed as a CYA email Bernie?

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/2ODZYP6VCF4VZN42KMLFOMICC4 M F

    I think it’ll be a decisive Romney win.

  • Slick2daE

    Lots of Obama signs and bumper stickers all over northern Virginia, DC, and Maryland. you’re in a closed world if you’re convinced Romney is going to win. Be prepared for a rude awakening Tuesday. Obama 2012!

    • Bill

      Maryland? Imagine that. I think you White Guilt Liberals won’t have your Black Messiah come Jan 21 2013…….lol

      • Slick2daE

        who’s laughing now? haha

    • hwy505

      So you see Obama signs in the area of DC, VA, and MD for Obama? Wow – how unusual – I guess you can say the same in Chicago, NYC (not counting Staten Island), and Detroit. And this is why you think Obama is going to win? So you named a portion of one state, another state, and a district. Is that the limit of your political capacity? You are reflective of the intellect, or the lack thereof – the Obama base. Take some advice, stop looking at t-shirts and bumper stickers for the pulse of an election, and try reading something informative and critical. Archie isn’t going to do it for you!

      • Slick2daE

        **yawn** looks like i was right. Obama won Virginia because northern VA has the highest population in the state. DC was obvious and Maryland wasn’t close with 10 electoral votes. this shouldn’t be a shocker…

    • JohnInMA

      So many in northern VA who doesn’t work directly for the federal government is very unhappy.  Especially anyone associated with defense contractors, or not associated with DC at all.  There is a reason Obama isn’t spending much time in the state, and it’s NOT because he thinks he has it sewed up.

      • Slick2daE

        actually he has spent a lot of time in northern VA and it worked out perfectly for him

    • nickshaw

       You would see a lot more Romney signs if union goons weren’t stealing them.
      Not to mention the threats, vandalism and car keying perpetrated by Zero supporters.
      Just sayin’.

      • Slick2daE

        agreed

    • nickshaw

       You are known by the company you keep, Helen.
      If Zero wins, these are the people he depends upon to exact revenge.
      http://twitchy.com/2012/11/04/obama-supporters-urinate-on-romney-yard-signs-bumper-stickers/
      I know people shouldn’t be painted with the same brush just because of who they support but, there are way too many examples of this coming from the left for us to ignore.
      When Zero loses are you going to be one of the rioters?

      • Slick2daE

        what riot? Obama was the favorite and now he got his 4 more years, and deservedly so.

  • CCNV

    I don’t know of anyone (in northern Nevada) who voted for the scummy, ghetto thug obammy. See lots and lots of Romney signs, though. The south part of the state, well, that’s a different story. Lots of Californians have migrated to escape their horrible state, only to create the same mess in southern Nevada. We definitely need an intervention!!

    • Bill

      The illegals in the Las Vegas SEIU will fraud vote for the Union Boss as usual.

      • Drew Page

        More than likely it will be the Hotel & Restaurant worker’s union in Nevada that will deliver the state to Obama just like they did for that lying scumbag Dingy Harry Reid.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/2Q3UK3SZ23ED6FUW3X3MUO2TVM Daniel

    I’m in CA and me and my Sister voted today. Romney!!  We had mail in ballots but dropped them off at our local Sheriff Station. Safer that way. To bad we’re in CA. Won’t help much coming from here.   

    • nickshaw

       ”Safer that way.” Exactly right, Dan.
      It’s the same across the country. People actually afraid to say who they are voting for or put up signs or use bumper stickers.
      Zero is out for revenge, don’t you know!

    • Drew Page

      I’m from Illinois and I feel your pain.   You may not know it but our state is in a real competition with yours to see who can go bankrupt first.   Like California, we are controled by Democrats; have sold out our taxpayers to the public sector unions (the Chicago Teachers Union just got a 16% raise over four years, where the average Chicago teacher’s annual salary is currently $71,000); have gigantic unfunded pension liabilities; can’t pay our bills; have an idiot in the Governor’s mansion; and have just put through a 67% increase in state income taxes, which hasn’t made a dent in the state’s debt.   

  • Bruce A.

    I see very few Obama signs in the Democratic area in Pennsylvania where I live.  I see a lot more Romney signs. 

    • metheoldsarge

       Possibly because it is still fresh in many minds how the New Black Panthers intimidated voters at the polling place in 2010.

  • Leo Lynch

    Romney will win with some to spare,will carry Colorado,Florida,Virginia,Ohio, Iowa,New Hampshire,and the icing on the cake will be Wisconsin,maybe double icing in the form of Pennsylvania.
    As i live in Ireland,i am getting wonderful odds in the bookmakers here,because most of Irish get their news from the liberal American media sources,but not me,i tune into Fox News,but i do cast a watcheful eye on CNN to keep abreast of their laboured neutrality.
    I got 3 to 1 yesterday on Romney,thank you liberal media,for once i sort of like you.

    • nickshaw

       I’m thinkin’ you might be able to buy that house you’ve had your eye on ’round about the 10th of November, Leo.  ;-)

  • http://profiles.yahoo.com/u/PPL2AXPXJMWPEJWFN34MPC5RNY terry

    THIS TOO, TOO FUNNY, ON CAMPAIGN OBAMA SAYS  ” YOU KNOW I ALWAYS TELL
    THE TRUTH ” HILARIOUS !

    NEXT HE SAYS   ” VOTE FOR REVENGE “  THATS REAL NICE, IF YOUR LOW LIFE.

    • Drew Page

      Of all of his lies, this has to be Obama’s biggest.   The ONLY thing Obama has told the truth about was his intention to “spread the wealth”.   All of his other campaign promises have been broken.   And by the way Mr. Obama, how’s that “investigation” into the Lybia thing going?  You remember, the one nobody told you about, that resulted in four dead Americans begging for help while under an attack that was beeing viewed, live feed, in real time at the White House.   I imagine that your “investigation” into this is going about as well as the one Eric Holder conducted on Fast & Furious, where our American border patrol agent was killed by guns supplied to Mexican drug cartels by BATF, under the auspices of the DOJ.  Certainly you must remember this one, because you provided Executive Privelege exemption to the documents requested by the Issa Committee.    You must remember that your lawyer, Mr. Holder, was held in Contempt of Congress for refusing to provide those requested documents.    Come on, you remember these things, don’t you?

  • EddieD_Boston

    Hey Bernie, I just finished reading Barone’s column before I went on here and read this. Great minds think alike.

    I predicted here 3 months ago Romney would win b/c I see little enthusiasm for Obama here in
    MA. If he doesn’t excite liberals here Obama is going to crash and burn. Plus, the 2010 mid-terms and the recall election in WI are the tea leaves.

    Romney handedly. You heard it here first!!!!

  • Bob Hadley

    Dick Morris is slimy.  His appearances on O’Reilly’ are campaign plugs against Pres. Obama and for himself.  Before the Democrastic convention he said that he “knows” that Pres. Clinton wants Pres. Obama to lose.  After the convention, Morris said the fact that Pres. Clinton’s speech was not a frontal attack on Gov. Romney is only further evidence that Clinton wants Pres. Obama to lose. 

    Back in or about 2009, Morris said that Pres. Obama’s policies were going to bring about run-away inflation.

    Morris thinks thatit that it’s OK if he’s wrong as long as he’s wrong favoring his side.  He’s thrown his weight to the right wing. 

    • Mario__P

      Bob, back in 2009 I heard every conservative yapping and predicting high inflation due to Obama’s policies. Three years later they’ve realized how wrong they were, and today there is no word about inflation to be heard.

      • Bob Hadley

        Actually, Morris is so deranged that he told O’Reilly several months ago that his predictions in his 2009 book “Catastrophe” have come true.  One of those predictions was the one about run-away inflation.

        Surely O’Reil.ly knows what a farce this guy is.

  • kayakbob

    I live in ground zero – SW Ohio.  I have observed a lot of anecdotal “evidence” that says Romney should(?!?!) carry Ohio, and handily(?) But again – purely anecdotal.

    Yard signs: roughly 7:1 for Romney. But what does that prove? Only the intensity of the voter(s) that live in that particular house, or run that business, and not much else. Personally I am emphatic about my vote, but I don’t put up yard signs because I can’t imagine how my yard sign would influence anybody. And I suspect the sign ratio is roughly opposite in Cleveland – 7:1 Obama. (That said, new signs have popped up…big orange signs saying “Defeat Obama”. Now that is intensity.)

    Bumper Stickers: Rough observation is 3:1 Romney/Ryan. But again, so what? My  bumper sticker is Texas Ranger baseball.   Doesn’t mean I want Ron Washington for President? (I would like Adrian Beltre as Secretary of Defense, but I digress.)

    Canvassers (sp?).  1 for Obama, 2 for Romney. And the 2nd Romney canvasser was here from another state volunteering!  Will I have to put on valet parking by Monday? who knows. 

    The other day Bill Clinton – the best ambassador that Obama has right now – got a whopping 2,800 people..yes two thousand eight hundred, on a college campus no less, near Toledo.  Last night Romney/Ryan got [est.] 30,000 in a northern suburb of Cincinnati. 

    So why do I feel like this thing will be close?  The Obama base – the alphabet media – is out in force. That’s why.

    Lastly, I stopped looking at polls weeks ago. I have come to the conclusion that MOST polls are now trying to influence public opinion, rather than gage it. But a lot of pollsters will have egg on their faces by around11pm EST on Tuesday….a lot.  I just don’t know which ones.

    • http://www.facebook.com/pork.bevr Pork Bevr

      You used a lot of bandwidth to say nothing much. I suspect your glass is eternally half empty.

  • Bill

    Ignorance is voting for Romney and then on the same ballot voting for a Democrat Senate candidate. Polls in Indiana, Ohio, Florida, Montana & Mo etc indicate this may happen. Romney can do little with a Democrat Senate. Repeal Obama Care: NOT. Great empires fall from the rot within……. “If America did not exist as a nation, would these 50 disparate states surrender their sovereignty and independence to enter such a union as the United States of 2012″?…Pat Buchanan.

    • nickshaw

       Frankly, too many people vote in exactly this manner, Bill.
      They think they are “balancing” their votes.

    • metheoldsarge

      That is also why Democrat candidates are working their proverbial liberal buts off trying to smear Republican incumbents or challengers. A Romney win they can handle but a Republican take over of both houses at the same time is frightening to the Democrats. If they can, at least, hold the Senate they can stonewall any attempts to correct the damage they did in the first two years of this administration. That will buy them a little time to smear the rest and possibly take over both houses by 2014 and work hard to get Romney replaced in 2016. Also consider the ages of some or the judges on the Supreme Court. If Obama wins Tuesday, and the Democrats maintain control of the Senate, could we have a Supreme Court Justice Holder to look forward to?

  • Crafty124

    Like you, Bernie, I sure pray that Michael and Dick are right. I want to have faith in the American people again.  

  • Karen

    I, guest it’s hard for some people to see how bad it is. Obama has not changed one thing since he’s been in office. Obama , has tried to divided Americans , he has pasted things behind our backs and them tell Americans how great it’s for the people. Nothing he has done has been good for Americans. This country has been through a lot the past 4 years. The jobs , taxes , borrowing money from china, and all he has done is fly around in Air Force 1 that cost the taxpayer money, he has taken more vacations then any other President . The worst thing is watching 4 of our great Americans die and do nothing. I, thank he cares more about Muslims then he dose about American people. No America can’t afford Obama for 4 more years.

    • Drew Page

      “Obama has not changed one thing since he’s been in office.”    Au contraire, Pierre.   I beg to differ.   For one thing, he has managed to keep unemployment at 8% and abouve for 44 months; has added $6 trillion dollars to the national debt in less than four years.   With help from his Democrate controlled House and Senate he has shoved Obamacare down our throats.   He has stolen $716 billion over 10 years from Medicare to fund Obamacare.   He has disapproved construction of the Keystone pipeline; refused to allow drilling leases on public lands and off U.S. shores for oil and gas exploration; has threatened to bankrupt the coal industry; refused to allow new coalfired or nuclear power plants to be built; and has watched as gas prices doubled since he took office.   He has, however, invested billions of tax dollars in alternative energy companies like Solyndra, other such companies that have already gone bankrupt.    In foreign affairs, his policies have brought stability (?) to the middle east in places like Egypt, Syria, Lybia and Iran.  He has strengthened (?) our ties with long time allies like Isreal to the point where he can ignore pleas from their Prime MInister to discuss Iran’s nuclear capabilities as ‘no big deal’.

      Yes, Obama has accomplished a lot since taking office.

      • Karen

        Yes, your right Obama has almost destroyed America . If, Obama has 4 more years he will accomplish what he started making Americans Government dependent.

    • Mario__P

       ”Obama has not changed one thing since he’s been in office.”
      I guess you’re not complaining about Obamacare then. That’s good.

  • Pridepe8

    How can anyone think that Gov Romney is going to win this bid with anything but a landslide!  During the Obamacare debate, the American people spoke and Washington did not listen!  This is the time for the American people to make their voices heard at the polls and send President Obama on his way.

    • metheoldsarge

       To steal an old joke from Dennis Miller, I hope the President gets stomped like a NARK at a biker rally.

  • http://twitter.com/semperfisy Stanley Yanis

    I think it will be close to a landslide. Remember Chik-Fil-A? People swarmed everywhere to make a point from the silent majority

    • EddieD_Boston

      Yup and they had Gov. Walker down by 6 or 7 the week before the vote in WI.

      Ivy League grads aren’t too bright sometimes. Or at least not as smart as they think they are.

    • nickshaw

       I agree, Stan. That’s an excellent example.
      The strident, screaming libs vs. the quiet support of Americans in general.
      Think of the demonstrations the libs have tried to organize since ’09 from the Coffee Party (LOL!) to the Million Puppet March (an even bigger LOL!)
      Compare that to Beck’s efforts and the March For Life (that the LSM didn’t even cover even though it did give coverage to a dozen abortion lovers in the wings!)
      It’s impossible to think the consistent polls showing support for repealing ObamaKare and the rout of 2010 do not indicate a decisive win for Romney.
       

    • carol4727

      I agree with you. The silent majority is about to come alive again.

  • Beanswithfrank

    How many years has Morris been in this biz? He might know something or two.

    • Brg007

      I hope you’re right …

  • digitalPimple

     He’s going to win even bigger then that. watch.