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Al's avatar

Thanks for the information John. Principles First makes sense with a collection of sound conservative ideals. Those characteristics don't win elections. Trump won, essentially, by not being a politician. Everyday folks relate to Trump because he does things. He's open and transparent. Comes up with ideas daily, finds solutions, speaks his mind, and he works his tail off.

My guess is that 80% of voters don't have a clue as to the good or bad of what Trump does or proposes. They care but don't spend time being concerned. That voting block win elections. Principles First needs to figure out how to appeal to that crowd.

John D McCann's avatar

Vance's only shot at winning the Presidency in 2028 is if the Democrats nominate someone even crazier than him, which is certainly possible.

Assuming Trump's approval rating remains basically where is it - around 40%, that's not enough to win a national election for any heir apparent. If Vance gets the nomination, he will have the same probably Kamala Harris had.

She was asked (on the View no less) what Biden polices she would change or things she would do differently. She said "I can't think of a thing I'd change" or something to that affect, and that was game over. She basically told the electorate: Vote for the same unpopular polices that are in place now, or take a chance on the challenger, even if it's Donald Trump, with all of his baggage. The voters made their choice.

Vance would have to answer the same question - "What would you do differently than Trump?" If he answers "Not a thing", he locks in the 40%, and loses. If he gives a few (or even ONE) concrete example of where he differs with Trump, he would become the star of a barrage of late night Truth Social posts about what a disloyal, unpatriotic, unAmerican scumbag he is. The MAGA base wouldn't vote for him, and he loses.

As I mention at the top, he could still pull off a win, if the Democrats nominate an absolute bat crap crazy left wing zealot (yes, I'm looking at you, AOC).

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